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The organization looks forward to the semiconductor industry in 2025: the AI ​ ​ replacement tide leads the growth, and the semiconductor ETF(512480) may usher in new development opportunities. On December 13, the semiconductor ETF(512480) closed down by 1.38%, with a turnover of 1.671 billion yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and Zhaoyi Innovation leads the rise. In terms of decline, SMIC led the decline. CICC said that after the boom in 2024, it is expected that the inventory of the semiconductor industry will stabilize and the relationship between supply and demand will be more balanced in 2025. With the gradual landing of AI cloud and end demand, domestic semiconductor elements will usher in new development opportunities. In addition, the AI-changing tide has a pulling effect on the downstream demand of the semiconductor design sector, which is expected to accelerate the growth of the semiconductor design sector in 2025 and inject new vitality into the industry.Vegetable oil fell by 1.90% on the 13th, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, the main contract vegetable oil closed at 2,505, up or down by -1.90%, with a turnover of 535,800 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 21,545 lots. The total turnover of vegetable oil futures contracts was 593,700 lots, a decrease of 112,100 lots from the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 232,900 lots, a decrease of 3,819 lots from the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 254,200 lots, an increase of 687 lots over the previous day. (Sina Futures)On the 13th, the 30-year treasury bond futures rose by 0.60%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the data of the exchange, as of December 13th, the main contract 30-year treasury bond futures closed at 2503, up or down by +0.60%, with a turnover of 71,900 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 3,777 lots. The total number of 30-year treasury bond futures contracts was 82,700 lots, an increase of 4,416 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 78,000 lots, a decrease of 1,313 lots from the previous day. The top 20 seats in the contract held 85,000 short positions, a decrease of 1,049 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)

According to the local government, Russia attacked the energy facilities in the Lviv region in western Ukraine.Some short-term inter-bank bonds performed brilliantly. The yield of 2-year active bonds "21 interest-bearing bonds 02" went down 5bp to reach 1.1%, which was 11bp upside down from the current 1-year active bonds "24 discount bonds 67" yield of 1.21%.The public security organs that cracked down on the rectification of the "money-changing party" found that the funds involved were more than 80 billion yuan. It was learned from the press conference of the Ministry of Public Security that in May this year, the Ministry of Public Security deployed a special work to crack down on the rectification of the "money-changing party" and derivative crimes. Since the special action, it has been found that the funds involved have flowed more than 80 billion yuan. (Xinhua News Agency)

Shanghai Electric established a new company including machinery and equipment sales business. According to the enterprise search APP, Shanghai Dixi New Energy Co., Ltd. was established with Ye Can as its legal representative and registered capital of 1 million yuan. Its business scope includes: power generation business, power transmission business and power supply (distribution) business; Installation, maintenance and testing of power transmission, power supply and power reception facilities; Mechanical equipment sales; Mechanical and electrical equipment sales, etc. Enterprise survey shows that the company is wholly owned by Shanghai Electric New Energy Development Co., Ltd., a subsidiary of Shanghai Electric.Zhongwei Semiconductor launched the cost-effective touch MCU-CMS79FT72xB series, and Zhongwei Semiconductor (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. continued to improve the resources of the 8-bit MCU product lineup and launched the cost-effective touch MCU-CMS79FT72xB. CMS79FT72xB series MCU has built-in 26-channel touch key detection circuit, working voltage is 2.5V~5.5V, working temperature range is -40℃~85℃, and it integrates ADC, LED, PWM, USART, LVD and other modules. Provide SOP16, SOP20 and SOP28 packages, which can flexibly meet the applications of household appliances, kitchen and bathroom appliances, household appliances, personal care and so on. At present, the CMS79FT72xB series has been mass-produced in Q4 of 2024, and the sample application has been opened. (Medium-micro semiconductor)Dutch International: Britain's economic growth momentum has further slowed down, but the budget boost is coming. Dutch International Bank said that Britain's GDP fell again in October, although this may exaggerate the degree of recent economic slowdown. According to the bank's forecast of Britain's annual GDP in 2025, the British economy will surpass most western European countries next year. This may tell more about the economic health of other parts of continental Europe, but it also reflects the impact of the recent fiscal stimulus measures in Britain to a great extent. Compared with the budget of the last Conservative government, public expenditure has increased by about 60 billion pounds, accounting for more than 2% of GDP. Most of the increased expenditure will flow to government departments in the form of daily funds, and most of it will eventually appear in the form of wages. Therefore, the transmission of finance to broader economic growth may be quite high.